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href="/info/industry/special/power">電源與新能源</a> > <a href="/info/articlelist/special/power/type/4">市場(chǎng)分析</a> > GTM：2015年薄膜光伏或?qū)⒆叱瞿嗾?/p> </div> </div> </div>   <script src="https://forum.eepw.com.cn/jscontent/wenzilian" type="text/javascript"></script>  <div class="eoqyyaq" id="container"> <section> <article> <h1>GTM：2015年薄膜光伏或?qū)⒆叱瞿嗾?/h1> <div id="y4mqasi" class="subhead" style="padding-bottom:15px;padding-right:50px;font-size:16px;color:#252525;font-style:normal;text-align:center;">—— 近幾個(gè)月以來(lái)薄膜“惹上了一些麻煩”</div> <div id="akaiaq8" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時(shí)間：2012-04-23</span> <span>來(lái)源：solarzoom</span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:150px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="gwumu44" class="nav0"> <ul> <li style="width:150px;"><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />英飛凌汽車電子生態(tài)圈</a> <ul> <li style="width:150px;text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_2.jpg" width="150"><br />掃碼關(guān)注<br />獲取最新最全汽車電子<br />技術(shù)方案與實(shí)用技巧</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="gm4qyq2" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="u4k0eai" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="cqgggqy" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　意料之中的是，近幾個(gè)月以來(lái)薄膜“惹上了一些麻煩”，GTM Research最新的《2012-2016薄膜：技術(shù)、市場(chǎng)與生存策略》報(bào)告指出，2011年薄膜技術(shù)全球市場(chǎng)份額已降至11%，而2009年薄膜的市場(chǎng)份額幾乎躍升至20%。該報(bào)告聲稱，薄膜身處競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈的光伏供應(yīng)市場(chǎng)當(dāng)中，而晶硅技術(shù)的成本不到每瓦1美元。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/131629.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/131629.htm</a> <p>　　“2012年一級(jí)<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/晶硅光伏"><em>晶硅光伏</em></a>產(chǎn)品均價(jià)跌至每瓦0.87美元，如今薄膜制造商必須力爭(zhēng)控制成本、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新并另辟蹊徑采用新的下游市場(chǎng)策略，從而助其在目前的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)形勢(shì)下幸存下來(lái)，并開拓更為穩(wěn)妥的市場(chǎng)，”GTM Research的高級(jí)分析師及該報(bào)告的作者M(jìn)J Shiao說(shuō)道。</p> <p>　　據(jù)該報(bào)告預(yù)計(jì)，2012年薄膜技術(shù)的產(chǎn)量與總市值將跌至30億美元以下，然而，希望就在眼前，正如GTM所預(yù)測(cè)的，2015年至2016年，薄膜的市場(chǎng)份額將增至76億美元。但產(chǎn)業(yè)能否復(fù)蘇還將取決于First Solar的經(jīng)營(yíng)狀況、薄膜產(chǎn)品效率的提升以及其它薄膜制造商的產(chǎn)量及規(guī)模路線圖。</p> <p>　　據(jù)GTM預(yù)測(cè)，到2016年CIGS技術(shù)的增勢(shì)將首當(dāng)其沖，預(yù)計(jì)四年后將增至4GW。今后五年，諸如Solar Frontier, MiaSolé與TSMC等企業(yè)將成為業(yè)內(nèi)領(lǐng)先的薄膜供應(yīng)商，制造成本將逐步降至每瓦0.50美元。此外，該報(bào)告指出，盡管CIGS企業(yè)的市值仍被低估，但過(guò)去兩個(gè)季度以來(lái)CIGS的風(fēng)投資金已超過(guò)3.05億美元。</p> <p>　　Shiao表示，由于薄膜的制造工藝被嚴(yán)格保密，因此<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/薄膜光伏"><em>薄膜光伏</em></a>歷來(lái)是由少數(shù)幾家制造企業(yè)領(lǐng)銜，身后則尾隨著眾多虎視眈眈的制造商。只有那些擁有高產(chǎn)量、高效率“精細(xì)配方”，并且在需求量低迷的市場(chǎng)持有穩(wěn)定的現(xiàn)金流，同時(shí)憑借良好的企業(yè)資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表消除可融資性疑慮的企業(yè)才能品嘗到成功的甜蜜果實(shí)。</p></span>  <div class="4wcck44" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" 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