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<h1>今后幾年將是中國光伏企業(yè)回?fù)裟?/h1> <div id="deemqrw" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時間：2013-09-24</span> <span>來源：中國網(wǎng)</span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:150px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="gwebyot" class="nav0"> <ul> <li style="width:150px;"><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />英飛凌汽車電子生態(tài)圈</a> <ul> <li style="width:150px;text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_2.jpg" width="150"><br />掃碼關(guān)注<br />獲取最新最全汽車電子<br />技術(shù)方案與實用技巧</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="udlarsb" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="tyrvdtc" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="lqczdxr" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　“這很不明智，在技術(shù)上、法律上都是不合理的。”9月12日，“<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/太陽能"><em>太陽能</em></a>之父”馬丁?格林在接受科技日報記者專訪時說，“歐美對中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/光伏"><em>光伏</em></a>產(chǎn)品設(shè)置壁壘是極其不明智的行為。”在出席當(dāng)天的2013年中關(guān)村論壇時，馬丁?格林說，“今后幾年是中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/光伏"><em>光伏</em></a>企業(yè)的回?fù)裟?。在價格和品質(zhì)進(jìn)一步提升后，中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/光伏"><em>光伏</em></a>企業(yè)在歐美市場重新振作需要兩三年時間”。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/170201.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/170201.htm</a> <p>　　對光伏設(shè)置壁壘是極其不明智的行為</p> <p>　　“當(dāng)前世界正處在能源轉(zhuǎn)型的關(guān)鍵時期，貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)不應(yīng)該成為光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的絆腳石。”馬丁?格林說，“我希望針對光伏的貿(mào)易壁壘全都取消。”</p> <p>　　近年來，中國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)迅速崛起，但卻遭遇了歐美國家的“雙反”調(diào)查。在馬丁?格林看來，“這是一種非常不明智的舉動”。</p> <p>　　他向科技日報記者描述了過去十年世界光伏技術(shù)的“擴(kuò)散圖”，“<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/太陽能"><em>太陽能</em></a>電池板制造中心從歐美等發(fā)達(dá)國家轉(zhuǎn)移到了亞洲國家，比如中國、泰國、韓國、馬來西亞，這個過程促進(jìn)了新技術(shù)的擴(kuò)散，也有利于世界能源轉(zhuǎn)型”。</p> <p>　　“大家知道，在這個星球上，當(dāng)你黑暗的時候，別人總是有太陽的。這說明人們需要在全球范圍內(nèi)采取一些行動，把<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/太陽能"><em>太陽能</em></a>聯(lián)系起來。”在馬丁?格林看來，對中國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)設(shè)置壁壘，不利于這種聯(lián)系的實現(xiàn)。</p> <p>　　“雙反調(diào)查對推動光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展起了反作用，不能讓歐美企業(yè)獲得競爭力，還會影響世界對于光伏的研究，阻礙光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展。”馬丁?格林說。</p> <p>　　在歐美市場重新振作需要兩三年時間</p> <p>　　“第一，產(chǎn)能過剩，產(chǎn)品供過于求;第二，現(xiàn)金存儲不足，在‘雙反’調(diào)查時出現(xiàn)了資金鏈斷裂危險。”通過無錫尚德的案例，馬丁?格林提醒中國光伏企業(yè)，“在未來發(fā)展中要更加理性”。</p> <p>　　在熟知中國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的他看來，中國光伏產(chǎn)品低價的主要原因在于技術(shù)進(jìn)步和產(chǎn)能過剩，“中國光伏企業(yè)遭受了很多不幸，但也要因此更加重視技術(shù)創(chuàng)新”。</p> <p>　　馬丁?格林認(rèn)為，光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展有兩個因素不可或缺，“一是提升品質(zhì)，二是降低價格”，這就是說“不降低技術(shù)成本，光伏產(chǎn)品就沒有前景”。</p> <p>　　“2008年以來，以美元計算的太陽能板的價格，一度電由4美元降到60到70美分;與此同時，光電轉(zhuǎn)化率達(dá)到了20%。這些讓太陽能發(fā)電成為了可能。”對于光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展，馬丁?格林說，“要經(jīng)歷一個整合的過程，有的企業(yè)活下來，有的企業(yè)被淘汰，但隨著技術(shù)成本下降，活下來的企業(yè)就會獲得效益”。</p> <p>　　馬丁?格林預(yù)計，在價格和品質(zhì)進(jìn)一步提升后，中國光伏企業(yè)在歐美市場重新振作需要兩三年時間。</p> <p>　　太陽能發(fā)電量2050年將占全球發(fā)電量的25%</p> <p>　　“未來一二十年，光伏光電轉(zhuǎn)化率可以提高到40%。”馬丁?格林認(rèn)為，“在光伏發(fā)電中，硅材料仍不可代替，但一些新材料將會添加進(jìn)來，以提高能源之間的轉(zhuǎn)化效率。”</p> <p>　　對于未來光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展，他談到了長距離輸送的重要，“現(xiàn)在有一個想法是把供電系統(tǒng)相互連接起來，這可實現(xiàn)更便宜的供電和長距離輸送。”</p> <p>　　在他看來，最新技術(shù)的出現(xiàn)將解決太陽能電池配件壽命較短的問題，“用水力來存儲太陽能發(fā)電，白天有太陽的時候用太陽能電池板發(fā)的電把水運到高處，水就會存儲一部分能量，晚上水從高處流下，利用水力來發(fā)電。”</p> <p>　　馬丁?格林認(rèn)為，由于燃燒化石能源會產(chǎn)生大量污染，而碳捕捉技術(shù)發(fā)展不足，很難實現(xiàn)煤的清潔燃燒。而在過去十年，核能發(fā)展出現(xiàn)萎縮，核電安全問題使核能遭受打擊。在這種情況下，越來越多國家開始意識到太陽能的重要性。“現(xiàn)在，德國的光伏發(fā)電占全部電量的6%;2020年，中國可能會達(dá)到這一比例。”馬丁?格林說，“到2050年，太陽能發(fā)電量將占全球發(fā)電量的25%。”</p></span>  <div class="nkdaind" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" 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