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src="https://forum.eepw.com.cn/jscontent/wenzilian" type="text/javascript"></script>  <div class="iuqmasr" id="container"> <section> <article> <h1>手機(jī)面板缺貨是常態(tài) 臺(tái)灣面板廠商群創(chuàng)遭遇重?fù)?/h1> <div id="xkvqtvq" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時(shí)間：2017-04-18</span> <span>來源：OFweek 顯示網(wǎng)</span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:130px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="hpqimpn" class="nav0"> <ul> <li><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />加入技術(shù)交流群</a> <ul> <li style="text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_1.jpg" width="130"><br />掃碼加入<br />和技術(shù)大咖面對(duì)面交流<br />海量資料庫查詢</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="eymlokc" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="hnsiuug" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="ezafgss" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/面板"><em>面板</em></a>缺貨是常態(tài)，從去年開始到目前，手機(jī)<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/面板"><em>面板</em></a>一直處于供不應(yīng)求的狀態(tài)，無論是LCD<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/面板"><em>面板</em></a>還是<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/OLED"><em>OLED</em></a>面板均處于這種狀態(tài)。尤其是后者，這些年在三星的帶動(dòng)下，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/OLED"><em>OLED</em></a>面板終于迎來的爆發(fā)期，然而產(chǎn)能卻被三星牢牢掌控，導(dǎo)致市場供需失衡，乃至業(yè)界出現(xiàn)了“<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/OLED"><em>OLED</em></a>改OLED的說法”。而LCD面板，隨著韓廠和臺(tái)部分廠商減產(chǎn)乃至退出，同樣遭遇一面難求的尷尬局面。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/201704/346719.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/201704/346719.htm</a> <p>　　然而，在這種情況下，臺(tái)灣面板雙虎之一的群創(chuàng)4月15日卻遭遇重?fù)?。?jù)臺(tái)灣媒體報(bào)道，4月15日上午，臺(tái)南科學(xué)園區(qū)早上6點(diǎn)遭遇跳電事故，導(dǎo)致園區(qū)內(nèi)廠商受到不同程度的影響，據(jù)南科管理局證實(shí)表示，事實(shí)上并非跳電，而是降壓，從而導(dǎo)致園區(qū)內(nèi)不同廠商因電壓不足而導(dǎo)致停機(jī)。</p> <p>　　此外，據(jù)報(bào)道稱，此次事故是由于南科園區(qū)某家半導(dǎo)體廠商的電路系統(tǒng)故障所導(dǎo)致，最終受到的影響的包括芯片代工廠商臺(tái)積電、聯(lián)電以及面板廠商群創(chuàng)、彩晶等，受此次事故影響，導(dǎo)致廠商約有半天的產(chǎn)能付之東流。</p> <p>　　而群創(chuàng)是此次事故最大的受害者，據(jù)報(bào)道稱，目前群創(chuàng)的5代線、6帶線以及7.5帶線都受到了影響，雖然目前已經(jīng)恢復(fù)了供電，但是仍要確認(rèn)情況再恢復(fù)生產(chǎn)，這也就是說，截至臺(tái)媒15日中午發(fā)稿時(shí)間，群創(chuàng)依然還沒有恢復(fù)生產(chǎn)。</p> <p>　　南科作為臺(tái)灣半導(dǎo)體以及面板產(chǎn)業(yè)的核心區(qū)域，其幾乎每年上半年都會(huì)出現(xiàn)事故，如受地震影響，據(jù)筆者觀察，就2017年而來看，就已經(jīng)兩次受到地震影響，首次受到地震影響頗大，而第二次情況則稍微輕一點(diǎn)。</p> <p>　　此次事故原因在于園區(qū)內(nèi)某半導(dǎo)體廠商電路系統(tǒng)故障所導(dǎo)致，其主要原因大約有三類：一是天然災(zāi)害，如地震、雷擊、颱風(fēng)等不可抗力因素;二為臺(tái)電供電問題;三為區(qū)內(nèi)廠商發(fā)生事故等因素所導(dǎo)致。</p> <p>　　此次事故不禁讓人聯(lián)想起前不久關(guān)于“臺(tái)積電出逃”前往美國建廠的事情，當(dāng)時(shí)據(jù)消息稱臺(tái)積電將遠(yuǎn)赴美國建3nm芯片工廠，雖然最終該消息被臺(tái)積電以及臺(tái)當(dāng)局所否定，但是該消息并非空穴來風(fēng)。</p> <p>　　據(jù)半導(dǎo)體業(yè)界人士向筆者表示：“如果臺(tái)積電真的去美國建3nm工廠的話，那么其中很重要的一個(gè)原因就在于供電問題。芯片代工產(chǎn)線需要持續(xù)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)，這也是為什么去年年初內(nèi)存芯片嚴(yán)重過剩但是廠商依然在生產(chǎn)的原因，所以芯片代工廠一旦停電其后果不敢想象，帶來的損失誰也不敢保證。”</p> <p>　　事實(shí)上，早在去年，臺(tái)灣科技部部長楊弘敦就透露了臺(tái)積電將投資5000億臺(tái)幣(164.1億美元)在建立3nm以及5nm制程產(chǎn)線的消息，當(dāng)時(shí)雙方已經(jīng)就建廠地址以及水電供應(yīng)問題展開了討論。由此可見，供電供水對(duì)于半導(dǎo)體廠商而言其重要性。</p> <p>　　從臺(tái)灣面產(chǎn)業(yè)來看的話，很明顯的一個(gè)趨勢在于受到大陸的沖擊很嚴(yán)重，處于一個(gè)“高不成低不就”的狀態(tài)，在LCD受到大陸企業(yè)的沖擊，而在OLED方面則仍處于觀望的狀態(tài)，尤其是在OLED方面，需要大量的資金投入，這也是此前面板雙虎呼吁政府資金支持的原因。然而，無論是在半導(dǎo)體領(lǐng)域還是在面板領(lǐng)域，臺(tái)灣當(dāng)局給與的支持與大陸相比完全不可媲美。</p> <p>　　而在日前，據(jù)臺(tái)媒報(bào)道稱，面板雙虎友達(dá)、群創(chuàng)將分別在4月27日及5月10日舉行法說會(huì)，公布首季財(cái)報(bào)及對(duì)第二季度的展望。受惠于面板面板價(jià)格續(xù)揚(yáng)，雙虎首季營收淡季不淡，外資目標(biāo)價(jià)調(diào)升至 17.1-17.8 元，法人看好單季獲利都可望挑戰(zhàn)百億元。</p> <p>　　友達(dá)與群創(chuàng)法說會(huì)時(shí)間原本都不會(huì)相隔太久，這次卻是分別在 4 月下旬及 5 月上旬舉行，引來市場關(guān)注是否有重大議案的討論，造成群創(chuàng)遲至 5 月才開法說會(huì)。</p> <p>　　群創(chuàng)對(duì)此表示，法說會(huì)的日期在今年 1 月就已敲定，主要是因?yàn)榕浜隙碌臅r(shí)間，并沒有其他特別的因素。</p> <p>　　面板雙虎第 1 季淡季不淡，3 月營收雙雙回升到 300 億元之上;友達(dá) 3 月合併營收 310.5 億元，月增 6.6%，年增 18.2%，連續(xù)兩個(gè)月成長，主受惠于大尺寸及中小尺寸面板出貨齊揚(yáng)，分別月增 10.4% 及 8.1%;第 1 季合併營收 885.6 億元，季減 3.6%，年增 24.5%。</p> <p>　　群創(chuàng) 3 月合併營收 314 億元，月增 14.4%，年增 67.6%，連續(xù)兩個(gè)月成長，主要受惠大尺寸及中小尺寸面板出貨齊揚(yáng)，分別月增 20.5% 及 37.4%;第 1 季合併營收 860 億元，年增 52.5%，季減 3.8%。</p> <p>　　法人預(yù)估，面板雙虎首季本業(yè)獲利有機(jī)會(huì)挑戰(zhàn)百億元，外資看好雙虎今年第 1 季獲利表現(xiàn)及第 2 季的營運(yùn);美系外資預(yù)估，友達(dá)首季毛利率 11.4%，稅后純益 84.14 億元，每股純益 0.87 元;今年毛利率 17.5%，營益率 11.2%，稅后純益 342.59 億元，年增 3.38 倍，每股純益 3.56 元;維持友達(dá)買進(jìn)評(píng)等，目標(biāo)價(jià) 17.1 元。</p> <p>　　美系外資預(yù)估，群創(chuàng)首季毛利率 14.6%，稅后純益約 97.92 億元，每股純益 0.98 元;今年稅后純益可達(dá) 358.34 億元，較去年 18.7 億元大增逾 18 倍，每股純益 3.6 元;維持買進(jìn)評(píng)等，目標(biāo)價(jià) 17.1 元。</p> <p>　　另外，歐系外資及日系外資也調(diào)高群創(chuàng)目標(biāo)價(jià)，歐系外資重申優(yōu)于大盤表現(xiàn)評(píng)等，目標(biāo)價(jià)由 17 元調(diào)高至 17.3 元;日系外資重申買進(jìn)評(píng)等，目標(biāo)價(jià)上看 17.8 元。</p> <p>　　歐系外資預(yù)估第 2 季面板價(jià)格續(xù)揚(yáng)，4 月 50 吋及 65 吋電視面板價(jià)格持續(xù)上漲，32 吋、40 吋及 43 吋面板價(jià)格持穩(wěn)，看好友達(dá)及群創(chuàng)第 2 季及第 3 季的獲利可望持續(xù)成長。</p></span>  <div class="dudsxvg" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" style="width:100%;overflow:hidden;display:none;z-index:10;position:absolute;left:0;background:#fff;"> <center> <img src="https://webstorage.eepw.com.cn/images/display/reg.jpg" border="0" usemap="#Map" /> <map name="Map" id="Map"> <area shape="rect" coords="133,235,319,253" target="_blank" /> <area shape="rect" coords="132,315,319,335" /> </map> </center> </div>  <span id="znztehm" class="hAd8"> <br></span>   </div> </article> <div id="xopjwtu" class="clear"></div> <br/> <div id="vgiccvo" class="hAd6"> <div class="iotugze" id="relA" style="width:auto;height:auto;"> <ul> <li>  <iframe id='af71d594' 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