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src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>全球<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/半導(dǎo)體"><em>半導(dǎo)體</em></a>景氣今年回升，但力道溫和，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/DIGITIMES"><em>DIGITIMES</em></a>分析師陳澤嘉預(yù)估，2024年全球晶圓代工業(yè)營(yíng)收估達(dá)1,591億美元、年增14％，陳澤嘉進(jìn)一步表示，在<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/AI"><em>AI</em></a>及HPC應(yīng)用帶動(dòng)先進(jìn)制程與先進(jìn)封裝需求強(qiáng)勁，是未來(lái)5年推升晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)營(yíng)收成長(zhǎng)主要?jiǎng)幽堋?br/></p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/202410/463457.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/202410/463457.htm</a><p><a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/半導(dǎo)體"><em>半導(dǎo)體</em></a>產(chǎn)業(yè)自2022年進(jìn)入庫(kù)存調(diào)整，至2024年上半雖進(jìn)入尾聲，但消費(fèi)性電子需求迄今仍現(xiàn)疲軟，電子業(yè)傳統(tǒng)旺季效應(yīng)表現(xiàn)溫和，致2024年成熟制程將承壓。不過(guò)，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/AI"><em>AI</em></a>／HPC應(yīng)用帶動(dòng)先進(jìn)制程需求暢旺下，陳澤嘉預(yù)估今年全球晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)營(yíng)收成長(zhǎng)動(dòng)能營(yíng)收將達(dá)1,591億美元，年增14％。</p><p>展望2025年，全球晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)需求仍將由<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/AI"><em>AI</em></a>／HPC應(yīng)用主導(dǎo)，先進(jìn)制程與先進(jìn)封裝需求將持續(xù)暢旺，而成熟制程營(yíng)收動(dòng)能則需視2025年下半電子業(yè)旺季效應(yīng)強(qiáng)弱而定。</p><p>陳澤嘉指出，2025年全球晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)營(yíng)收將達(dá)1,840億美元，年增約16％。</p><p>市場(chǎng)普遍認(rèn)為，2025年之后全球晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)仍將維持以掌握先進(jìn)制程的臺(tái)積電、營(yíng)運(yùn)動(dòng)能相對(duì)強(qiáng)勁的表現(xiàn)；而臺(tái)廠三大成熟制程廠，包括聯(lián)電、世界先進(jìn)及力積電將面臨陸廠競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力壓力加大，反應(yīng)業(yè)績(jī)上也相對(duì)趨緩。</p><p>觀察未來(lái)5年全球晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)，陳澤嘉認(rèn)為，AI／HPC應(yīng)用仍將扮演晶圓代工產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展重要推手，加上先進(jìn)制造與先進(jìn)封裝產(chǎn)能持續(xù)開出，2029年全球晶圓代工業(yè)營(yíng)收將突破2,700億美元。</p><p>AI／HPC芯片仰賴先進(jìn)制造技術(shù)，此帶動(dòng)臺(tái)積電、三星電子（Samsung Electronics）與英特爾（Intel）將先進(jìn)制程推進(jìn)至1.4奈米節(jié)點(diǎn)，但三大業(yè)者競(jìng)爭(zhēng)格局將取決于英特爾Intel 18A制程量產(chǎn)情形，以及三星電子晶圓代工先進(jìn)制程進(jìn)展與投資布局策略而定。</p><p>同時(shí)，IC設(shè)計(jì)業(yè)者考慮先進(jìn)制程價(jià)格昂貴，AI／HPC芯片將更加仰賴先進(jìn)封裝，盼從芯片模塊與系統(tǒng)層面加強(qiáng)性能，而非僅依靠先進(jìn)制程提升芯片性能。</p><p>因此，陳澤嘉指出，2.5D／3D封裝、共同封裝光學(xué)（Co-Packaged Optics；CPO）等先進(jìn)封裝技術(shù)為未來(lái)AI／HPC芯片發(fā)展仰賴的重點(diǎn)技術(shù)，已吸引晶圓代工業(yè)者加強(qiáng)布局。</p></span>  <div class="fqlzqed" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" style="width:100%;overflow:hidden;display:none;z-index:10;position:absolute;left:0;background:#fff;"> <center> <img src="https://webstorage.eepw.com.cn/images/display/reg.jpg" border="0" usemap="#Map" /> <map name="Map" id="Map"> <area shape="rect" coords="133,235,319,253" target="_blank" /> <area shape="rect" coords="132,315,319,335" /> </map> </center> </div>  <span id="yfwntdk" class="hAd8"> <br></span>   </div> </article> <div id="gctvbpo" class="clear"></div> <br/> <div id="lwvxzft" class="hAd6"> <div class="hduwnft" id="relA" style="width:auto;height:auto;"> <ul> <li>  <iframe id='af71d594' 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