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<section> <article> <h1>中國電信被查：運(yùn)營商合并懸念或?qū)⒚骼?/h1> <div id="apeawwh" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時(shí)間：2015-12-28</span> <span>來源：財(cái)經(jīng)國家周刊 </span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:130px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="xuuxitx" class="nav0"> <ul> <li><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />加入技術(shù)交流群</a> <ul> <li style="text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_1.jpg" width="130"><br />掃碼加入<br />和技術(shù)大咖面對面交流<br />海量資料庫查詢</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="xjfmibb" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="etlozdh" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="gkgftxq" class="editorNote"> <strong>編者按</strong>：過去幾年間，中國電信與中國聯(lián)通合并的傳言一度甚囂塵上。但伴隨鐵塔公司成立、三大運(yùn)營商高管互換的落定，該傳言逐漸消聲匿跡，常小兵出事的最大影響，是為通信市場調(diào)整和運(yùn)營商格局演變帶來新變數(shù)。</div> <br/> <div id="pmaalwd" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　2015年12月27日，天氣肅殺，位于北京金融街31號的中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電信"><em>電信</em></a>總部大樓，被籠罩在漫天寒雪之中。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/284929.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/284929.htm</a><p>　　此刻，大樓7層的董事長辦公室已經(jīng)貼上封條——據(jù)消息人士透露，12月25日夜間，中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電信"><em>電信</em></a>董事長常小兵被有關(guān)部門帶走接受調(diào)查;26日下午，上級已將消息通報(bào)中國<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電信"><em>電信</em></a>黨組成員，并授命總經(jīng)理?xiàng)罱苤鞒止ぷ鳌?/p><p>　　目前，此消息尚未獲官方確認(rèn)。但常小兵本人的手機(jī)已處于關(guān)機(jī)狀態(tài)，而中國電信集團(tuán)原定于12月28日在北京南粵苑賓館召開的全國工作會，也已經(jīng)臨時(shí)通知延期。</p><p>　　如果常小兵“出事”，他將成為自2009年電信反腐以來，級別最高的落馬<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/運(yùn)營商"><em>運(yùn)營商</em></a>高管，以及可能是2015年的“最后一虎”，并將為正處于劇變期的中國通信行業(yè)格局帶來巨大變數(shù)：無論如何走向，流傳已久的電信聯(lián)通是否重組懸念，都有可能隨之迅速明朗化。</p><p><strong>　　調(diào)虎離山?</strong></p><p>　　此時(shí)回望4個(gè)月前的<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/運(yùn)營商"><em>運(yùn)營商</em></a>換帥，或許可能發(fā)現(xiàn)更多深意。</p><p>　　2015年8月24日，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/運(yùn)營商"><em>運(yùn)營商</em></a>高管大規(guī)模變動：中移動原董事長奚國華不再擔(dān)任該職;工信部原副部長尚冰出任中國移動董事長、黨組書記;中國電信董事長王曉初和中國聯(lián)通董事長常小兵則職位對調(diào)。</p><p>　　以上調(diào)整中，年事已高的奚國華退居二線，交棒給資歷、能力、行業(yè)人脈俱強(qiáng)的尚冰，并不讓人意外。</p><p>　　但王曉初與常小兵為何對調(diào)，卻一度引發(fā)坊間猜測。</p><p>　　雖然三大運(yùn)營商同屬國企，高管輪換并無不可，但三家公司也都是海外上市的公眾公司，通過“簡單粗暴”的行政管理方式，直接進(jìn)行一把手對調(diào)，可能對市場會產(chǎn)生難以消除的負(fù)面影響。</p><p>　　當(dāng)時(shí)，就有運(yùn)營商人士猜測，對調(diào)換崗或意在調(diào)虎離山，以便深入調(diào)查。如今看來，這一猜測可能一語成讖。</p><p>　　事實(shí)上，早在2014年底，中央第八巡視組就曾對中國聯(lián)通展開專項(xiàng)巡查。彼時(shí)，坊間一度盛傳常小兵可能被牽出，但最終常平安“過關(guān)”。</p><p>　　“現(xiàn)在看來，當(dāng)時(shí)很可能是調(diào)查受阻，所以沒有立刻深挖，直到換崗后才直搗虎穴?！币晃贿\(yùn)營商內(nèi)部人士猜測。</p><p><strong>　　“常氏聯(lián)通”</strong></p><p>　　常小兵究竟身涉何事?</p><p>　　有消息人士告訴《財(cái)經(jīng)國家周刊》，常小兵可能因在香港、北京的兩處房產(chǎn)涉案，或因其親戚在廣東的關(guān)聯(lián)公司從中國聯(lián)通獲利。</p><p>　　此前，也曾有多位知情人士向《財(cái)經(jīng)國家周刊》進(jìn)行舉報(bào)，稱聯(lián)通2011年前后的部分決策涉嫌利益輸送。</p><p>　　更多人則猜測，常小兵也可能是被2014年涉案的聯(lián)通高管牽出。</p><p>　　在那一波巡查中落馬的中國聯(lián)通高管主要有2人，分別是網(wǎng)絡(luò)分公司副總經(jīng)理兼網(wǎng)絡(luò)建設(shè)部總經(jīng)理張智江，和信息化和電子商務(wù)事業(yè)部總經(jīng)理宗新華。而在此前，宗新華一直被聯(lián)通內(nèi)部視作常小兵嫡系。(注：《財(cái)經(jīng)國家周刊》曾于2014年12月連續(xù)刊發(fā)相關(guān)獨(dú)家報(bào)道，首篇報(bào)道刊發(fā)時(shí)間為2014年12月25日，距離常小兵被帶走剛好一年。)</p><p>　　目前，以上猜測均未獲證實(shí)，也未有更準(zhǔn)確消息。</p><p>　　但行業(yè)內(nèi)普遍確信，雖然常小兵是在中國電信任上接受調(diào)查，但涉案問題必然發(fā)生于掌舵中國聯(lián)通期間，且常小兵一案可能牽連更多中國聯(lián)通管理層，甚至形成“窩案”。</p><p>　　在此之前，自2004年11月1日開始的11年間，中國聯(lián)通一直處于常小兵掌控之下，這樣長的一個(gè)時(shí)間跨度，足以打造一個(gè)高度封閉的“常氏聯(lián)通”。</p><p>　　常小兵出生于1957年3月，1982 年自南京郵電學(xué)院電信工程系畢業(yè)，歷任安徽省六安地區(qū)郵電局技術(shù)員，江蘇省南京市電信局、江蘇省郵電管理局網(wǎng)管中心工程師，江蘇省郵電管理局電信處副處長，南京市電信局副局長。</p><p>　　或許正是因?yàn)檫@一段履歷，“江蘇幫”在聯(lián)通系統(tǒng)中頗為得勢。一位運(yùn)營商人士透露，六安甚至曾被常小兵特別指定為VoLTE試點(diǎn)。</p><p>　　此后，常小兵進(jìn)入升遷的快速通道。</p><p>　　1996年6月，常小兵進(jìn)京，任中國郵電電信總局副局長、信息產(chǎn)業(yè)部電信管理局副局長，次年2月升任信息產(chǎn)業(yè)部電信管理局局長，2000年4月進(jìn)入國企，擔(dān)任中國電信集團(tuán)公司副總經(jīng)理、黨組成員。</p><p>　　2004年11月，在三大運(yùn)營商的大輪換中，常小兵調(diào)任中國聯(lián)通公司董事長、黨組書記，此后一直掌舵這家大型國企，長達(dá)11年之久。</p><p>　　即使是2008年電信重組，聯(lián)通集團(tuán)與網(wǎng)通集團(tuán)合并，常小兵也出任了中國聯(lián)合網(wǎng)絡(luò)通信集團(tuán)董事長兼新聯(lián)通籌備組組長，并順利成為新的中國聯(lián)通董事長。</p><p><strong>　　電信聯(lián)通合并懸念將解</strong></p><p>　　</p><p>　　但現(xiàn)在，很多人開始重新猜測，此事是否是兩大運(yùn)營商真正走向合并的先兆。</p><p>　　可以確定的是，反腐是由中紀(jì)委負(fù)責(zé)，而電信聯(lián)通是否合并是由國務(wù)院主導(dǎo)，所以兩者理論上不會有直接的因果關(guān)聯(lián)。</p><p>　　但就實(shí)際影響來說，此事確實(shí)帶來了新的可能性。</p><p>　　在王曉初履新中國聯(lián)通后，中國聯(lián)通已初步制定了《聯(lián)通和電信4G網(wǎng)絡(luò)的共享建議》，提出了包括基站、機(jī)房、傳輸在內(nèi)的資源、技術(shù)共享路徑，甚至融合計(jì)費(fèi)，并且建議兩大集團(tuán)成立集團(tuán)、省、市三級專項(xiàng)工作組，保障深度合作工作的開展。</p><p>　　而2015年12月11日，中國電信與中國聯(lián)通更在北京宣布，將共同促進(jìn)六模全網(wǎng)通終端發(fā)展，這也是歷史上首個(gè)由兩家運(yùn)營商共同主辦的發(fā)布會，。</p><p>　　現(xiàn)在，常小兵出事后的管理真空，更為合并創(chuàng)新了一個(gè)最佳契機(jī)。</p><p>　　這也意味著，電信聯(lián)通是否合并的懸念，可能將在未來半年甚至更短時(shí)間內(nèi)水落石出。</p><p>　　如果中國電信任命新的掌舵人，并完成新的班子調(diào)配，則至少在未來3~5年內(nèi)，電信聯(lián)通的合并可能性將大大降低。</p><p>　　反之，如果電信聯(lián)通最終走向合并，則需要在這個(gè)契機(jī)時(shí)間內(nèi)，完成合并工作的準(zhǔn)備倒計(jì)時(shí)，否則將平添巨大阻力與變數(shù)。</p><p>　　不過，就目前來看，兩家運(yùn)營商的合并可能性，依然不被看好。</p><p>　　一方面，如果電信聯(lián)通合并，則中國的固定寬帶網(wǎng)絡(luò)將重回壟斷(由于最后一公里限制，即使中移動拿到牌照，也無法撼動電信與聯(lián)通的優(yōu)勢)，中移動與電信聯(lián)通合并的新公司，將可能形成默契，各自在對方領(lǐng)域“假打”。這將與通信業(yè)數(shù)十年來一直推進(jìn)的市場化，以及本屆政府力推的寬帶提速降費(fèi)政策不盡一致。</p><p>　　另一方面，如果電信聯(lián)通合并，將擁有包括小靈通(清退中)、GSM、CDMA、WCDMA、CDMA2000、TD-LTE、FDD LTE在內(nèi)的史上最復(fù)雜的通信網(wǎng)絡(luò)結(jié)構(gòu)，并由此產(chǎn)生諸多的技術(shù)維護(hù)與市場運(yùn)營難題。</p><p>　　同時(shí)，據(jù)第三方統(tǒng)計(jì)的不完全數(shù)據(jù)，中國電信擁有的員工超過60萬，中國聯(lián)通員工數(shù)也超過50萬(包括正式工和勞務(wù)派遣工)。如果兩家公司真的走向合并，員工總數(shù)將突破100萬，這將是新公司難以承受的負(fù)擔(dān)。</p></span>  <div class="xubmttm" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" style="width:100%;overflow:hidden;display:none;z-index:10;position:absolute;left:0;background:#fff;"> <center> <img src="https://webstorage.eepw.com.cn/images/display/reg.jpg" border="0" usemap="#Map" /> <map name="Map" id="Map"> <area shape="rect" coords="133,235,319,253" target="_blank" /> <area shape="rect" coords="132,315,319,335" /> </map> </center> </div>  <span id="hhzrjbb" class="hAd8"> <br></span>   </div> </article> <div id="rjieppi" class="clear"></div> <br/> <div id="qyqqwaa" class="hAd6"> <div class="nodovoo" id="relA" style="width:auto;height:auto;"> <ul> <li>  <iframe id='af71d594' name='af71d594' 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