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href="/info/industry/special/auto">汽車電子</a> > <a href="/info/articlelist/special/auto/type/4">市場(chǎng)分析</a> > 電動(dòng)車不好賣還是因?yàn)殡姵乩玻?/p> </div> </div> </div>   <script src="https://forum.eepw.com.cn/jscontent/wenzilian" type="text/javascript"></script>  <div class="6616111" id="container"> <section> <article> <h1>電動(dòng)車不好賣還是因?yàn)殡姵乩玻?/h1> <div id="1616166" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時(shí)間：2015-05-21</span> <span>來(lái)源：eettaiwan </span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:150px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="6111116" class="nav0"> <ul> <li style="width:150px;"><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />英飛凌汽車電子生態(tài)圈</a> <ul> <li style="width:150px;text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_2.jpg" width="150"><br />掃碼關(guān)注<br />獲取最新最全汽車電子<br />技術(shù)方案與實(shí)用技巧</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="6666116" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="6166611" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="1611111" class="editorNote"> <strong>編者按</strong>：電池這個(gè)嚴(yán)重拖后腿的家伙，害的移動(dòng)設(shè)備續(xù)航不足，不能發(fā)揮應(yīng)有長(zhǎng)處，現(xiàn)在呢還是因?yàn)殡姵仉妱?dòng)車完全無(wú)法拓展，續(xù)航不足，充電時(shí)間長(zhǎng)，電動(dòng)車依然在等待更好的電池技術(shù)，其它設(shè)備也是。</div> <br/> <div id="6666661" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　為什么<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電動(dòng)車"><em>電動(dòng)車</em></a>(EV)的銷售狀況一直沒(méi)起色?問(wèn)題的答案仍然千篇一律，難道是我們重復(fù)得還不夠?就是<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電動(dòng)車"><em>電動(dòng)車</em></a>的<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電池"><em>電池</em></a>、<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電池"><em>電池</em></a>、<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電池"><em>電池</em></a>啊!(因?yàn)楹苤匾?，所以要講三次?)</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/274496.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/274496.htm</a><p>　　汽車工程師當(dāng)然知道這一點(diǎn)，材料科學(xué)家也不例外。而消費(fèi)者看起來(lái)雖然佩服特斯拉(Tesla Motors)所取得的成就，但并不明白為什么它在<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/電動(dòng)車"><em>電動(dòng)車</em></a>方面的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)無(wú)法擴(kuò)展到中階與入門級(jí)車款。</p><p>　　通用汽車公司(General Motors)最近把矛頭指向了市場(chǎng)需求不足。Plug In America則歸因于普遍對(duì)電動(dòng)車的認(rèn)識(shí)不夠以及仍缺乏可用性。根據(jù)Plug In America在四月發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告中提到，“有些經(jīng)銷商還不太熱衷于為插電式電動(dòng)車(PEV)多進(jìn)行一些投資?！?/p><p>　　兩種看法都十分正確。低階市場(chǎng)的需求疲軟，而電動(dòng)車的可用性和認(rèn)識(shí)也明顯不足。</p><p>　　問(wèn)題是，為什么呢?答案仍然是——“電池”!</p><p><br /></p><center><img width="500" height="281" src="http://editerupload.eepw.com.cn/201505/e951d6876aba728b12d68d31c34a9a1d.jpg" /></center><p><br /></p><p>　　福特Focus電動(dòng)車車主的家庭年平均收入為19.9萬(wàn)美元，而汽油版Focus車主的家庭年收入平均為7.7萬(wàn)美元。</p><p>　　根據(jù)最近一項(xiàng)由TrueCar.com所進(jìn)行的調(diào)查顯示，擁有越高收入的人更傾向于購(gòu)買電動(dòng)車。例如，購(gòu)買福特(Ford) Focus電動(dòng)車的車主平均家庭收入每年約19.9萬(wàn)美元，而購(gòu)買汽油版Focus的車主平均年收入為7.7萬(wàn)美元。同樣地，F(xiàn)iat 500e電動(dòng)車的車主年收入平均約有14.5萬(wàn)美元，而汽油版Fiat 500的車主家庭年收入平均為7.3萬(wàn)美元。</p><p>　　TrueCar總裁John Krafcik表示，富有的汽車買家更懂得議價(jià)，因此想要的是一款較低營(yíng)運(yùn)成本的汽車。這忽略了為什么富有的車主負(fù)擔(dān)得起實(shí)用性較少的第二部或第三部車的事實(shí)。而較有預(yù)算限制的汽車車主則否。如果他們也能負(fù)擔(dān)得起第二部車，那么將成為推動(dòng)電動(dòng)車市場(chǎng)成長(zhǎng)的有力因素。</p><p>　　在接下來(lái)的幾年，經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模將推動(dòng)電動(dòng)車技術(shù)向前進(jìn)展。電池的價(jià)格將會(huì)變得更便宜;汽車價(jià)格將會(huì)下滑，而汽車銷售量則開(kāi)始成長(zhǎng)。以電池供電的電動(dòng)車整體普及率將隨之提升，可能到5%或甚至10%。</p><p>　　但是，如果你想尋求銷售的爆炸性成長(zhǎng)，讓我們從得以揮別汽油時(shí)代，那就要看運(yùn)氣了。經(jīng)模經(jīng)濟(jì)還沒(méi)好到那樣的地步。為此，我們需要所謂的“神能電池”(God battery)——300英哩的續(xù)航力，價(jià)格約每千瓦時(shí)100美元(100/kWh )。</p><p>　　這當(dāng)然是一項(xiàng)艱鉅的任務(wù)。我們都明白這一點(diǎn)，因?yàn)樵谶^(guò)去25年以來(lái)，我們已經(jīng)聽(tīng)過(guò)無(wú)數(shù)次新的電池化學(xué)研發(fā)，從鈉硫電池、鎳鐵電池、鎳氫電池到先進(jìn)的鉛酸電池、鋰離子電池、鋰空氣電池、鋰硫電池到鋁空氣電池等等。而今我們?nèi)栽诘却?。很顯然地，這事情比表面上看起來(lái)更困難得多。</p><p>　　我從1988年開(kāi)始寫有關(guān)電動(dòng)車的報(bào)導(dǎo)，當(dāng)時(shí)還沒(méi)聽(tīng)說(shuō)過(guò)網(wǎng)際網(wǎng)路，也沒(méi)有手機(jī)。然而，在過(guò)去的27年來(lái)，這些更受消費(fèi)者青睞的技術(shù)卻迅速地超越電動(dòng)車技術(shù)，逐一成功地被開(kāi)發(fā)出來(lái)。</p><p>　　或許我們可以歸咎于種種因素——可用性、消費(fèi)意識(shí)、陰謀論、促銷力度等等。畢竟在所有的這些原因背后總有部份事實(shí)。然而，當(dāng)我們?cè)跔?zhēng)辯這些真相時(shí)，手機(jī)用戶已成長(zhǎng)到70億支，全球網(wǎng)際網(wǎng)路用戶也迅速攀升到超過(guò)60億個(gè)單位了。</p><p>　　而今，電動(dòng)車依然在等待更好的電池技術(shù)。</p></span>  <div class="6666666" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" style="width:100%;overflow:hidden;display:none;z-index:10;position:absolute;left:0;background:#fff;"> <center> <img src="https://webstorage.eepw.com.cn/images/display/reg.jpg" border="0" usemap="#Map" /> <map name="Map" id="Map"> <area shape="rect" 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