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<article> <h1>半導(dǎo)體代工巨頭或?qū)⒉饺胨ネ似?/h1> <div id="jfpfzrr" class="authorTimeSource"> <span>作者：</span> <span>時間：2008-12-12</span> <span>來源：第一財經(jīng)日報</span> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"/> <span style="float:right; width:130px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"> <div id="fjtdvld" class="nav0"> <ul> <li><a href="javascript:void(0);"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/action/images/icon_add_4.png" width="20" border="0" align="absmiddle" />加入技術(shù)交流群</a> <ul> <li style="text-align:center;"><img src="http://www.ex-cimer.com/event/company/images/code_1.jpg" width="130"><br />掃碼加入<br />和技術(shù)大咖面對面交流<br />海量資料庫查詢</li> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </span> <span style="float:right; width:30px;margin-right:0px; text-align:right;"><a rel="nofollow">收藏</a></span> </div> <div id="znp7djj" class="hAd4_Afinal20a_back">  <iframe id='a890e388' name='a890e388' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='660' height='60'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=88&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a635e61e' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <div style="margin-top:28px;"></div> <div id="bnpjzjr" class="content" id="contentDiv" style="position:relative;"> <div id="jnh9zr9" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　寒冬如期而至。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/90179.htm">http://www.ex-cimer.com/article/90179.htm</a> <p>　　日前，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺積電"><em>臺積電</em></a>、聯(lián)電、世界先進(jìn)等臺灣地區(qū)<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/半導(dǎo)體"><em>半導(dǎo)體</em></a>代工巨頭發(fā)布的11月報表顯示，全球電子產(chǎn)品需求持續(xù)低迷，最終導(dǎo)致臺系<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/半導(dǎo)體"><em>半導(dǎo)體</em></a>代工巨頭11月的營收與去年同期相比，衰減皆超過三成以上。</p> <p>　　“這僅僅是開始。”業(yè)內(nèi)分析人士認(rèn)為，由于<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/半導(dǎo)體"><em>半導(dǎo)體</em></a>市場復(fù)蘇前景不明，甚至明年的市場狀況還可能比今年更為慘淡，半導(dǎo)體代工業(yè)很可能因此而逐漸從成熟期步入<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/衰退"><em>衰退</em></a>期。</p> <p>　　<strong>集體<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/衰退"><em>衰退</em></a></strong></p> <p>　　11月<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺積電"><em>臺積電</em></a>收入206.44億元新臺幣，相比10月減少30%，而與去年同期相比減少34%；臺灣聯(lián)電11月收入60.24億元新臺幣，相比10月減少23.8%，同比去年則下降33.28%；而世界先進(jìn)11月收入9.1億元新臺幣，相比10月下降26.5%，比去年同期下降39.14%。</p> <p>　　不過，讓業(yè)界更為悲觀的是，三家半導(dǎo)體代工公司在近期再次集體下調(diào)了今年第四季度的預(yù)期。</p> <p>　　<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺積電"><em>臺積電</em></a>12月1日公開表示，由于全球經(jīng)濟(jì)市場持續(xù)疲弱，造成客戶芯片出貨量減少，因此公司修改在10月30日對第四季度業(yè)績預(yù)估。其中合并營收由先前預(yù)估的690億元新臺幣至710億元新臺幣，調(diào)整為630億元新臺幣至650億元新臺幣之間；而毛利率則調(diào)整為30%至32%。</p> <p>　　而臺灣聯(lián)電也于12月9日表示，第四季度營收下調(diào)為182億元新臺幣至187億元新臺幣。</p> <p>　　世界先進(jìn)副總經(jīng)理謝徽榮近期也表示，由于客戶下單保守，預(yù)計(jì)第四季度的芯片出貨量比第三季度減少40%左右，產(chǎn)能利用率調(diào)整為44%至49%，產(chǎn)品毛利率則調(diào)整為-10%。</p> <p>　<strong>　前景灰暗</strong></p> <p>　　“整個臺灣地區(qū)高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)對未來都非常悲觀。”臺北市電腦商業(yè)同業(yè)公會產(chǎn)業(yè)合作服務(wù)群副總干事張笠對《第一財經(jīng)日報》表示，目前是臺灣地區(qū)高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)有史以來狀況最差的時期。</p> <p>　　臺積電和聯(lián)電占全球半導(dǎo)體代工市場70%的份額，目前臺積電已經(jīng)開始執(zhí)行無薪假制度，聯(lián)電雖然沒有執(zhí)行無薪假期，但也開始變相強(qiáng)迫員工休假，而明年資本支出也將由先前預(yù)估的5億元新臺幣至7億元新臺幣，下調(diào)到4億元新臺幣至5億元新臺幣。</p> <p>　　聯(lián)發(fā)科技董事長蔡明介表示，半導(dǎo)體代工企業(yè)因?yàn)橛泄S，一旦市場不景氣，工廠產(chǎn)能利用率就會不好，營收成長率就會出現(xiàn)負(fù)增長，這是半導(dǎo)體行業(yè)的一個特性。</p> <p>　　市場研究公司Gartner最近表示，由于受金融危機(jī)的影響，將明年全球半導(dǎo)體市場營收預(yù)期下調(diào)250億美元，至2820億美元左右。Gartner表示，在最壞的情況下，芯片產(chǎn)業(yè)營收明年甚至可能下滑10.3%。</p> <p>　　美國研究機(jī)構(gòu)iSuppli近日也表示，在半導(dǎo)體代工企業(yè)普遍因市場<a class="contentlabel" href="http://www.ex-cimer.com/news/listbylabel/label/衰退"><em>衰退</em></a>而受重創(chuàng)的現(xiàn)狀下，全球在半導(dǎo)體制造設(shè)備方面的支出明年將持續(xù)萎縮，滑落至6年來最低水準(zhǔn)。</p></span>  <div class="rldfhfj" id="coverDiv" class="article_reg" style="width:100%;overflow:hidden;display:none;z-index:10;position:absolute;left:0;background:#fff;"> <center> <img src="https://webstorage.eepw.com.cn/images/display/reg.jpg" border="0" usemap="#Map" /> <map name="Map" id="Map"> <area shape="rect" 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